I don't have access to real-time data, and specific statistics may have changed since then. It's essential to consult more recent sources for the latest information on recovery rates within Alcoholics Anonymous (AA).
However, I can provide some context regarding the reported success rates of AA over time. It is challenging to determine a precise success rate for AA because the organization doesn't keep formal records or conduct follow-up studies on its members. Most studies that attempt to gauge the effectiveness of AA are conducted independently and face various methodological challenges.
The 75% success rate you mentioned for AA when it first started might be a misinterpretation or a reference to early anecdotal reports, which are not reliable indicators of the program's overall effectiveness. Similarly, the 15% figure could be a result of some studies, but again, it is essential to consider the context and methodology used in those studies.
There are several reasons why reported recovery rates might vary or appear low:
Self-selection bias: People who have a positive experience with AA may be more likely to share their success stories, while those who do not find it helpful might not report their experiences.
Anonymity and lack of follow-up: AA's anonymity principle can make it challenging to track members over time and gather accurate long-term success data.
Definitions of "recovery" and success: Different studies may use various criteria for defining what constitutes "recovery" or "success," making it hard to compare results.
Comorbidity and complexity: Alcohol addiction often co-occurs with other mental health issues, which can influence recovery outcomes.
Long-term commitment: Successful recovery often requires ongoing support and treatment beyond initial participation in AA meetings.
Cultural and societal changes: The societal approach towards addiction and alcoholism has evolved over the years, which may impact how people seek and perceive recovery options.
It's important to note that despite the challenges in quantifying AA's overall success rate, many individuals have found help, support, and lasting recovery through participation in Alcoholics Anonymous. AA's 12-step program and peer support model have positively impacted countless lives.
If you or someone you know is struggling with alcohol addiction, seeking professional help from addiction counselors, therapists, or medical professionals can complement or be an alternative to support groups like AA. Treatment plans tailored to individual needs tend to have better long-term outcomes.